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The probability of winning the lottery varies depending on the rules of the specific lottery, but I will explain using the example of South Korea's Lotto 6/45.
๐Probability calculation of Lotto 6/45
Lotto 6/45 is a method of selecting **6 numbers** out of 1 to 45. The probability of winning is calculated using **combinations**.
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#### **Probability Formula**
Total number of combinations = \(\binom{45}{6} = \frac{45!}{6!(45-6)!}\)
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Total number of combinations
- \( 45! \) represents the product of all numbers from 45 down to 1.
- Calculating this results in 8,145,060 combinations.
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Therefore, the probability of winning first place:
\[ \frac{1}{8,145,060} \approx 0.0000123\% \]
(Approximately 1 in 8.14 million)
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๐Probability by winning rank (based on Lotto 6/45)
| Rank | Number of Correct Answers | Bonus Number | Winning Probability |
|-------|-----------|------------------|--------------------------------|
| 1st place | 6 items | None | 1 / 8,145,060 |
| 2nd | 5 items | 1 item | 1 / 1,357,510 |
| 3rd place | 5 items | None | 1 / 35,724 |
| 4th | 4 items | None | 1 / 733 |
| 5th | 3 items | None | 1 / 45 |
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Comparison to understand the probability of winning the lottery
The probability of 1 in 8.14 million is similar to the following:
- Probability of being struck by lightning: approximately 1 in 1,350,000
Probability of experiencing an airplane crash: approximately 1 in 11 million
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๐Reference
- Lotto is a **probability game**, and winning depends on luck.
Even if you purchase consistently, your chances of winning do not significantly increase.
It is recommended to enjoy small amounts for fun.